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| Housing, Economic & Interest Rate Data - Actual Data and Forecasts for the Future . . . | |||||||||||||||
| RED | = Un-Favorable | GREEN | = Favorable | ||||||||||||
| 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | |||||||||||||
| Data Topic: | Quarter 2 | Quarter 3 | Quarter 4 | Quarter 1 | Quarter 2 | Quarter 3 | Quarter 4 | Quarter 1 | Quarter 2 | Quarter 3 | |||||
| Actual Data | Forecasts | ||||||||||||||
| 1. Existing Home Sales | 5,917,000 | 5,420,000 | 4,957,000 | 4,950,000 | 5,025,000 | 5,648,000 | 5,822,000 | 5,866,000 | 5,778,000 | 5,620,000 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -11% | -14% | -1% | -1% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 1% | -2% | -3% | |||||
| 2. New Single-Family Sales | 855,000 | 730,000 | 654,000 | 569,000 | 520,000 | 524,000 | 540,000 | 558,000 | 568,000 | 598,000 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -21% | -27% | -34% | -13% | -9% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | |||||
| 3. Housing Starts | 1,464,000 | 1,300,000 | 1,151,000 | 1,035,000 | 938,000 | 917,000 | 930,000 | 941,000 | 946,000 | 972,000 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -21% | -24% | -26% | -10% | -9% | -2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | |||||
| 4. Single-Family Unit Starts | 1,166,000 | 990,000 | 826,000 | 722,000 | 642,000 | 622,000 | 627,000 | 634,000 | 635,000 | 658,000 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -23% | -29% | -33% | -13% | -11% | -3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% | |||||
| 5. Multi-Family Unit Starts | 299,000 | 310,000 | 325,000 | 313,000 | 296,000 | 295,000 | 303,000 | 306,000 | 311,000 | 315,000 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -12% | 0% | -1% | -4% | -5% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |||||
| 6. Residential Construction | $491 Bil. | $463 Bil. | $431 Bil. | $399 Bil. | $374 Bil. | $359 Bil. | $353 Bil. | $356 Bil. | $359 Bil. | $363 Bil. | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -17% | -17% | -18% | -7% | -6% | -4% | -2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |||||
| 7. Existing Home Price | $224,000 | $221,000 | $207,500 | $198,700 | $210,500 | $226,300 | $214,800 | $208,200 | $220,600 | $234,700 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -1% | -2% | -5% | -4% | 6% | 8% | -5% | -3% | 6% | 6% | |||||
| 8. New Home Price | $241,000 | $241,000 | $237,000 | $234,900 | $221,500 | $248,200 | $246,700 | $246,600 | $234,300 | $261,100 | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -2% | 2% | -6% | -1% | -6% | 12% | -1% | 0% | -5% | 11% | |||||
| 9. 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate | 6.30% | 6.60% | 6.20% | 5.90% | 6.00% | 6.10% | 6.20% | 6.20% | 6.30% | 6.40% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -2% | 3% | -3% | -5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | |||||
| 10. 1 Year Adjust. Mortgage Rate | 5.50% | 5.70% | 5.60% | 5.10% | 5.10% | 5.10% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.10% | 5.10% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 0% | 4% | -2% | -9% | 0% | 0% | -2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | |||||
| 11. Fed Funds | 5.30% | 5.10% | 4.50% | 3.20% | 2.10% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.30% | 2.50% | 2.80% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 6% | -4% | -12% | -29% | -34% | -5% | 0% | 15% | 9% | 12% | |||||
| 12. 3 Mo. T-Bill Rate | 4.70% | 4.30% | 3.40% | 2.00% | 1.90% | 1.90% | 2.00% | 2.30% | 2.60% | 2.80% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 0% | -9% | -28% | -41% | -5% | 0% | 5% | 15% | 13% | 8% | |||||
| 13. Prime Rate | 8.30% | 8.20% | 7.50% | 6.20% | 5.10% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.30% | 5.50% | 5.80% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 4% | -1% | -9% | -17% | -18% | -2% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 5% | |||||
| 14. Corporate AAA Rated Bond | 5.60% | 5.80% | 5.50% | 5.50% | 5.10% | 5.20% | 5.20% | 5.30% | 5.50% | 5.60% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 0% | 4% | -5% | 0% | -7% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 2% | |||||
| 15. 10 Year T-Note Yield | 4.80% | 4.70% | 4.30% | 3.70% | 3.80% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.10% | 4.30% | 4.40% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 0% | -2% | -10% | -14% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 2% | |||||
| 16. 30 Year T-Bond Yield | 5.00% | 4.90% | 4.60% | 4.40% | 4.50% | 4.50% | 4.60% | 4.60% | 4.70% | 4.80% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 2% | 0% | -6% | -4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | |||||
| 17. Real GDP | 3.80% | 4.90% | 0.60% | 0.60% | 0.40% | 2.00% | 2.20% | 2.70% | 2.30% | 2.50% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 30% | 69% | -79% | 0% | -33% | 400% | 10% | 23% | -15% | 9% | |||||
| 18. Consumer Prices | 6.00% | 1.90% | 5.00% | 4.30% | 2.80% | 1.20% | 1.40% | 2.80% | 2.60% | 2.50% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 88% | -40% | 163% | -14% | -35% | -57% | 17% | 100% | -7% | -4% | |||||
| 19. Real Disposable Income | -0.80% | 4.50% | 0.10% | 1.40% | 0.01% | 2.20% | 2.50% | 4.20% | 3.20% | 3.10% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -126% | 45% | -90% | 1300% | -99% | 21900% | 14% | 68% | -24% | -3% | |||||
| 20. Consumer Confidence | 110% | 107% | 91% | 77% | 68% | 73% | 75% | 80% | 81% | 83% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | 4% | -3% | -15% | -15% | -12% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 2% | |||||
| 21. Unemployment | 4.50% | 4.70% | 4.80% | 4.90% | 5.20% | 5.60% | 5.60% | 5.60% | 5.50% | 5.50% | |||||
| % Change from Year Ago | -2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 0% | -2% | 0% | |||||
| Information herein is obtained from the "National Association of Realtors" and has not been verified by us and cannot be considered to be complete or accurate. Quarterly Figures are seasonally adjusted annual rates. The "% Change from Year Ago" compares the data with data from 1 year ago and is expressed as Green if the data is Favorable and Red if the data is Un-favorable. | |||||||||||||||