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Residential and commercial development in the next 25 years will eclipse anything seen in previous generations as the nation moves to accommodate rapid population growth, according to the Brookings Institution.
    
About half the homes, office buildings, stores and factories that will be needed by 2030 don't exist today according to Arther C. Nelson, author of the report for Brookings. The U.S. population is expected to increase 33% to 376 million by 2030, an increase of 94 million than in 2003.
    
To serve that population, almost 60 million housing units will have to be built. About 20 million of these units will replace destroyed or aging homes. In addition, half of the largest metropolitan areas will have to add as much or more commercial and industrial space as existed in 2000. Phenomenal growth in the South and West has turned deserts and soybean fields into cities. These Regions, which face water limitations, will experience the greatest surge in
construction in the next 25 years. If development patterns don't change, subdivisions will continue to sprout on The U.S. will need 59 million new housing units by 2030, 2.2 million per year, farmland farther from metropolitan areas, requiring more roads and sewer lines.
    
For generations, Americans favored single-family homes on larger lots. Development spread to where land was cheaper but within commuting distance to jobs. Communities must decide whether they want to develop policies consistent with those preferences or constrain them. There are signs that people want more choices. Frustration with long commutes is mounting. Downtown housing is enjoying a revival. Even suburbs are creating city-styled town centers that combine stores, offices, condos and townhouses in a walkable environment. But change is coming slowly and we are going to wind up with anywhere between 60% to 70% of development occurring where it always occurred since WWII...on the outer edge.      

    

Here is a breakdown by State of the current housing units, the number that will be lost and the number of new units needed by the year 2030:
        

State

Current Housing Units
(As of 2000 Census)

Housing Units Lost
(Torn Down or Damaged Beyond Repair Between 2000 & 2030)

New Housing Units Needed
(Between 2000 & 2030)

Total Housing Units By 2030

Ala.

1,963,711

369,315

928,696

2,523,092

Alaska

260,978

 49,082

144,199

356,095

Ariz.

2,189,189

411,721

2,085,596

3,863,065

Ark.

1,173,043

220,614

645,034

1,597,463

Calif.

12,214,549

2,297,190

6,961,545

16,878,904

Colo.

1,808,037

340,038

1,324,038

2,792,037

Conn.

1,385,975

190,766

364,443

1,559,652

Del.

343,072

64,552

195,202

473,752

D.C.

274,845

51,690

36,431

259,585

Fla.

7,302,947

1,373,465

5,467,049

11,396,531

Ga.

3,281,737

617,196

2,088,852

4,753,392

Hawaii

460,542

86,614

198,904

572,832

Idaho

527,824

99,268

390,317

818,873

Ill.

4,885,615

850,830

1,811,438

5,846,223

Ind.

2,532,319

441,003

1,118,417

3,209,733

Iowa

1,232,511

214,642

395,247

1,413,117

Kan.

1,131,200

196,998

478,302

1,412,504

Ky.

1,759,927

329,297

797,355

2,218,985

La.

1,847,181

347,399

750,173

2,249,954

Maine

651,901

89,728

217,817

779,991

Md.

2,145,283

403,463

1,147,150

2,888,970

Mass.

2,621,989

360,891

780,544

3,041,642

Mich.

4,234,279

737,400

1,599,825

5,096,704

Minn.

2,065,946

359,784

1,125,465

2,831,627

Miss.

1,161,953

218,529

539,384

1,482,809

Mo.

2,442,017

425,277

1,091,492

3,108,232

Mont.

412,633

77,604

226,635

561,664

Neb.

722,668

125,853

314,335

911,150

Nev.

827,457

155,620

924,646

1,596,484

N.Hamp.

547,024

75,292

261,107

732,838

N.J.

3,310,275

455,626

1,188,979

4,043,628

N.Mex.

780,579

146,803

529,081

1,162,857

N.Y.

7,679,307

1,056,980

2,064,069

8,686,396

N.Car.

3,523,944

662,748

2,234,193

5,095,389

N.D.

289,677

50,447

92,668

331,898

Ohio

4,783,051

832,968

1,551,447

5,501,529

Okla.

1,514,400

284,813

716,079

1,945,666

Ore.

1,452,709

273,211

955,878

2,135,376

Pa.

5,249,750

722,576

1,344,395

5,871,569

R.I.

439,837

60,539

123,771

503,068

S.Car.

1,753,670

329,813

1,034,291

2,458,148

S.D.

323,208

56,287

140,667

407,588

Tenn.

2,439,443

458,786

1,442,234

3,422,891

Texas

8,157,575

1,534,195

5,833,877

12,457,257

Utah

768,594

144,549

702,883

1,326,928

Vt.

294,382

40,519

121,578

375,441

Va. 

2,904,192

546,191

1,672,007

4,030,007

Wash.

2,451,075

460,974

1,589,579

3,579,681

W.Va.

844,623

158,848

234,216

919,991

Wis.

2,321,144

404,227

`1,039,379

2,956,296

Wyo.

223,854

42,100

95,507

277,261

TOTAL

 115,904,641

20,087,433

58,939,060

154,756,268

Source: Toward a New Metropolis: The Opportunity to Rebuild America, Brookings Institution report by Arthur C. Nelson. Full report at: www.brookings.edu/metro

   
Using the estimates above, each Housing Unit in the year 2030 will be occupied by an average of 2.4 people, which is approximately the same ratio as today.


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